Youtube etrade speed dating
Suppose you thought that modern science was broken, with scientists and grantmakers doing a bad job of focusing their discoveries on truly interesting and important things.
But if this were true, then you (or anyone else with a little money) could set up a non-broken science, make many more discoveries than everyone else, get more Nobel Prizes, earn more money from all your patents and inventions, and eventually become so prestigious and rich that everyone else admits you were right and switches to doing science your way.
If you see a bill lying on the sidewalk in Grand Central Station, and you remember having seen the same bill a week ago, something is wrong. But there’s no way that such a low-hanging piece of money-making fruit would go unpicked for that long.
Thousands of people cross Grand Central every week – there’s no way a thousand people would all pass up a free . In the same way, suppose your uncle buys a lot of Google stock, because he’s heard Google has cool self-driving cars that will be the next big thing. No – if Google stock was underpriced (ie you could easily get rich by buying Google stock), then everyone smart enough to notice would buy it.
For example: Eliezer’s wife Brienne had Seasonal Affective Disorder.
The consensus treatment for SAD is “light boxes”, very bright lamps that mimic sunshine and make winter feel more like summer.
So for Google to remain underpriced when your uncle sees it, you have to assume everyone at every Wall Street hedge fund has just failed to notice this tremendous money-making opportunity – the same sort of implausible failure as a staying on the floor of Grand Central for a week.Entrepreneurs are pretty smart, so they would notice this money-making opportunity, raise some funds from equally-observant venture capitalists, make a better mass transit system, and get really rich off of all the tickets. So “US cities don’t have good mass transit” seems like the same kind of statement as “a bill has been on the floor of Grand Central Station for a week and nobody has picked it up.” Therefore, US cities have good mass transit, or at least the best mass transit that’s economically viable right now.This proof of God’s omnibenevolence is followed by Eliezer’s observations that the world seems full of evil.There are dozens of government bodies, private institutions, and universities that could do this kind of thing if they wanted. So “science is broken” seems like the same kind of statement as “a bill has been on the floor of Grand Central Station for a week and nobody has picked it up”. Or: suppose you thought that health care is inefficient and costs way too much.But if this were true, some entrepreneur could start a new hospital / clinic / whatever that delivered health care at lower prices and with higher profit margins.